Apex
Blend: Elo + form + streak — momentum-aware ensemble pick.
All-time accuracy
69.4%
347 / 500 settled
Last 50
74.0%
sliding window
Last 10
70.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.211
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.613
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$459.14 across 631 bets. ROI = +7.28%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 393 | 67.2% (264/393) | |
| 70–80% | 96 | 76.0% (73/96) | |
| 80–90% | 11 | 90.9% (10/11) | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Z10 vs Angry | Angry 60% | 0.39 | |
| RJohn vs PC | RJohn 67% | 0.02 | |
| oblood vs Xipto | Xipto 54% | 0.43 | |
| Angry vs Z10 | Angry 62% | 0.39 | |
| Nemiga vs PR | PR 55% | 0.96 | |
| GL vs Aurora | GL 51% | 0.96 | |
| Synapse vs PR | Synapse 57% | 0.96 | |
| potn9k vs Synapse | Synapse 74% | 0.70 | |
| Synapse vs Nemiga | Synapse 65% | 0.96 | |
| PV vs DOKONC | PV 74% | 0.02 | |
| SpiritAc vs ICxI | ICxI 56% | 0.96 | |
| SpiritAc vs IC x Insanity | SpiritAc 51% | 0.02 | |
| NH vs oveA | oveA 60% | 0.45 | |
| TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 83% | 0.96 | |
| GL vs CyberHero | CyberHero 50% | 0.96 | |
| PlayTime vs HU | HU 55% | 0.87 | |
| IAP vs RJohn | RJohn 54% | 0.02 | |
| PV vs YeS | YeS 52% | 0.41 | |
| 4iki vs SpiritAc | 4iki 54% | 0.50 | |
| FL vs PC | FL 75% | 0.68 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | XctN vs CR | XctN 57% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Z10 vs Angry | Angry 60% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | RJohn vs PC | RJohn 67% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | oblood vs Xipto | Xipto 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Angry vs Z10 | Angry 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Nemiga vs PR | PR 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | GL vs Aurora | GL 51% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Synapse vs PR | Synapse 57% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | potn9k vs Synapse | Synapse 74% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Synapse vs Nemiga | Synapse 65% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | PV vs DOKONC | PV 74% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | SpiritAc vs ICxI | ICxI 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | SpiritAc vs IC x Insani… | SpiritAc 51% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | NH vs oveA | oveA 60% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 83% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | GL vs CyberHero | CyberHero 50% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | PlayTime vs HU | HU 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | IAP vs RJohn | RJohn 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | PV vs YeS | YeS 52% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | 4iki vs SpiritAc | 4iki 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | FL vs PC | FL 75% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | LGD vs Liquid | Liquid 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | ICxI vs Allied | ICxI 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | CyberHero vs Xipto | CyberHero 57% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | TSpirit vs FL | TSpirit 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | LGD vs LEGION | LGD 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | SpiritAc vs Z10 | SpiritAc 57% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | DOKONC vs YeS | YeS 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | ICxI vs Angry | ICxI 59% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Liquid vs LEGION | Liquid 61% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | potn9k vs PR | PR 54% | PR | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Xipto | CyberHero 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs PC | FL 67% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs PC | PlayTime 65% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | 1w vs TSpirit | TSpirit 80% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs TSpirit | TSpirit 64% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs 1w | FL 75% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Aurora | CyberHero 53% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Nemiga | FL 62% | FL | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | potn9k vs PR | potn9k 51% | PR | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs YeS | PlayTime 51% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Nemiga | FL 59% | FL | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | potn9k vs Zenith | potn9k 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Liquid vs LGD | Liquid 59% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Aurora vs CyberHero | Aurora 52% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 83% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Xipto vs FL | Xipto 54% | FL | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 63% | Z10 | ✗ miss |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs YeS | PlayTime 51% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Xipto | Xipto 55% | FL | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 63% | CyberHero | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 62% | CyberHero | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs Zenith | PlayTime 67% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | IC x Insani… vs Xipto | Xipto 63% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PT vs Zenith | PT 75% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PR vs Angry | Angry 67% | Angry | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | Z10 vs CyberHero | CyberHero 53% | CyberHero | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | LGD vs LEGION | LGD 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Liquid vs LEGION | Liquid 61% | pending | — |