Consensus
META: triggers when ≥75% of base models converge on same side.
All-time accuracy
87.5%
21 / 24 settled
Last 50
87.5%
sliding window
Last 10
100.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.160
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.505
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$89.02 across 24 bets. ROI = +37.09%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 5 | 100.0% (5/5) | |
| 60–70% | 16 | 81.3% (13/16) | |
| 70–80% | 3 | 100.0% (3/3) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LVA vs LTU | LVA 68% | 0.80 | |
| ISR vs SVK | ISR 69% | 0.80 | |
| GTM vs CRI | CRI 52% | 0.80 | |
| CUB vs PAN | CUB 63% | 0.80 |
Recent picks (34)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30 | LVA vs LTU | LVA 68% | pending | — |
| Jun 30 | ISR vs SVK | ISR 69% | pending | — |
| Jun 30 | GTM vs CRI | CRI 52% | pending | — |
| Jun 30 | CUB vs PAN | CUB 63% | pending | — |
| Jun 30 | PER vs ARG | PER 64% | pending | — |
| Jun 30 | CRI vs HND | CRI 70% | CRI | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 30 | MEX vs CUB | CUB 51% | pending | — |
| Jun 30 | CHL vs ARG | ARG 66% | ARG | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 30 | ECU vs VEN | ECU 68% | ECU | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 30 | MEX vs CRI | MEX 58% | MEX | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 30 | CUB vs HND | CUB 73% | CUB | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 29 | SRB vs LVA | SRB 58% | SRB | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 29 | DZA vs TUN | DZA 72% | DZA | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 29 | LTU vs ISR | ISR 68% | ISR | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 29 | LVA vs SVK | LVA 66% | LVA | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 29 | HRV vs SVN | HRV 71% | HRV | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 28 | TeamDk vs Hokori | TeamDk 55% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | PR vs YeS | YeS 54% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | Resilience vs YB | Resilience 68% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | YB vs VG | VG 52% | VG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 64% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 64% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 64% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 60% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 60% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 60% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | PlayTime vs AMG | PlayTime 54% | PlayTime | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 64% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 64% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | MOUZ vs YeS | YeS 60% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | EB vs x5 | EB 68% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | x5 vs AMG | AMG 63% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | NAVI 62% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | NAVI 62% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |