Consensus
META: triggers when ≥75% of base models converge on same side.
All-time accuracy
64.2%
97 / 151 settled
Last 50
64.0%
sliding window
Last 10
20.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.225
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.641
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$358.15 across 254 bets. ROI = +14.10%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 77 | 59.7% (46/77) | |
| 60–70% | 63 | 65.1% (41/63) | |
| 70–80% | 11 | 90.9% (10/11) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 66% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 56% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TSpirit | Liquid 54% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Resilience vs OG | Resilience 62% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 57% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 57% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 59% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | VSN vs BB | VSN 60% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Vitality Wa… vs DARKNESS GA… | DARKNESS GAMING 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TY | TY 54% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | LGD vs NGX | LGD 57% | NGX | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | LGD vs NGX | LGD 58% | NGX | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TY | TY 59% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TSpirit | TSpirit 56% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TSpirit vs Aurora | TSpirit 54% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TSpirit vs Aurora | TSpirit 54% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | LGD vs Resilience | LGD 57% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | VSN vs FLCN | VSN 56% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 64% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | VSN vs FLCN | VSN 57% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 69% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | GL vs Aurora | Aurora 70% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 66% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | Resilience vs LGD | LGD 56% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 66% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 65% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | TY vs HU | TY 64% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | TY vs HU | TY 62% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | TY vs HU | TY 58% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 68% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | TY vs HU | TY 58% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | Liquid vs VG | Liquid 66% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | Liquid vs VG | Liquid 63% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | Liquid vs VG | Liquid 63% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 53% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | BB vs OG | BB 63% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | VSN vs Resilience | VSN 60% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 60% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | BB vs OG | BB 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | NAVI vs LevelUP | NAVI 71% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 12 | LevelUP vs NAVI | NAVI 66% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 12 | NAVI vs LevelUP | NAVI 62% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 12 | RE vs LevelUP | RE 56% | LevelUP | ✗ miss |
| Aug 11 | lvlUP vs SpiritAc | lvlUP 65% | lvlUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | Z10 vs YeS | Z10 58% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | SpiritAc vs NH | SpiritAc 64% | SpiritAc | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | MOUZ vs RE | RE 55% | RE | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | MOUZ vs RE | RE 56% | MOUZ | ✗ miss |
| Aug 11 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | LevelUP 55% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | LYNX vs RE`Arise | LYNX 54% | RE`Arise | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | LevelUP 56% | YeS | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 62% | MOUZ | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 64% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | LV United vs Dark Rebell… | Dark Rebellion 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | Dominion vs Elite Eclip… | Dominion 53% | pending | — |