Elo H2H
Standard head-to-head Elo, scale=400.
All-time accuracy
59.8%
125 / 209 settled
Last 50
60.0%
sliding window
Last 10
60.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.231
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.655
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$141.19 across 403 bets. ROI = +3.50%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 130 | 53.1% (69/130) | |
| 60–70% | 70 | 68.6% (48/70) | |
| 70–80% | 9 | 88.9% (8/9) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 62% | 1.00 | |
| PARIVISION vs Resilience | Resilience 58% | 0.05 | |
| BetBoom Team vs OG | OG 53% | 0.05 | |
| 1win Team vs NGX | NGX 54% | 0.05 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 53% | 0.17 | |
| VSN vs Resilience | VSN 52% | 0.67 | |
| NGX vs IW | NGX 65% | 0.80 | |
| TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 63% | 1.00 | |
| Liquid vs VG | Liquid 56% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 61% | 1.00 | |
| TY vs HU | TY 69% | 0.70 | |
| TY vs L1 | TY 73% | 0.05 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 62% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | PARIVISION vs Resilience | Resilience 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | BetBoom Team vs OG | OG 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | 1win Team vs NGX | NGX 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | BB vs OG | BB 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | VSN vs Resilience | VSN 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | NGX vs IW | NGX 65% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | Liquid vs VG | Liquid 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | TY vs HU | TY 69% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | TY vs L1 | TY 73% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | lvlUP vs SpiritAc | lvlUP 69% | lvlUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | Z10 vs YeS | Z10 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | SpiritAc vs NH | SpiritAc 59% | SpiritAc | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | Z10 vs YeS | Z10 59% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | MOUZ vs RE | RE 53% | RE | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | IW vs NGX | NGX 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | MOUZ vs RE | RE 53% | MOUZ | ✗ miss |
| Aug 11 | LevelUP vs NAVI | LevelUP 54% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Aug 11 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | Moonlight W… vs Freedom Fig… | Moonlight Wispers 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | LevelUP 52% | LevelUP | coin-flip |
| Aug 10 | LYNX vs RE`Arise | LYNX 51% | RE`Arise | coin-flip |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | YeS 51% | LevelUP | coin-flip |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | LevelUP 52% | YeS | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | Z10 vs Ilbirs | Z10 60% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | Z10 vs Ilbirs | Z10 58% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 64% | MOUZ | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 68% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | LV United vs Dark Rebell… | LV United 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | Dominion vs Elite Eclip… | Dominion 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | Moonlight W… vs Prime Legion | Moonlight Wispers 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | Project Ach… vs Freedom Fig… | Project Achilles 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | RE`Arise vs Ilbirs | RE`Arise 52% | RE`Arise | coin-flip |
| Aug 09 | SpiritAc vs lvlUP | lvlUP 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | Z10 vs NAVI | Z10 61% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | RE vs Ilbirs | RE 52% | RE | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | NH vs FTS | NH 51% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | Ilbirs vs RE | Ilbirs 60% | RE | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | LevelUP vs MOUZ | LevelUP 72% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | MOUZ vs LevelUP | LevelUP 63% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | YeS vs PR | YeS 50% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Aug 09 | PR vs YeS | PR 60% | YeS | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | YeS vs PR | PR 50% | PR | coin-flip |
| Aug 09 | Riftwalkers vs Wiser Warri… | Riftwalkers 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | Freedom Fig… vs Moonlight W… | Freedom Fighters Team 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | lvlUP vs LYNX | lvlUP 69% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | AMG vs Jenz | AMG 63% | AMG | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs AMG | AMG 55% | AMG | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs Ilbirs | Ilbirs 64% | Ilbirs | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | FTS vs PC | PC 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs Ilbirs | Ilbirs 62% | Ilbirs | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Ilbirs vs NH | Ilbirs 65% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | PR vs Team Synapse | PR 61% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Team Synapse vs PR | Team Synapse 55% | PR | ✗ miss |
| Aug 08 | Freedom Fig… vs Moonlight W… | Freedom Fighters Team 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | PC vs LYNX | PC 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | FTS vs lvlUP | FTS 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | Nemiga vs Jenz | Nemiga 50% | Nemiga | coin-flip |