Form
Pure win-rate over last 10 matches.
All-time accuracy
66.7%
10 / 15 settled
Last 50
66.7%
sliding window
Last 10
50.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.208
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.607
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$16.00 across 15 bets. ROI = +10.66%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 8 | 37.5% (3/8) | |
| 60–70% | 7 | 100.0% (7/7) | |
| 70–80% | 0 | — | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TeamDk vs Hokori | TeamDk 62% | 0.90 | |
| Carstensz vs MM | MM 64% | 0.30 | |
| VP vs HU | VP 57% | 0.40 |
Recent picks (28)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27 | PR vs YeS | PR 50% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs Hokori | TeamDk 62% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | Carstensz vs MM | MM 64% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | VP vs HU | VP 57% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs HU | NAVI 59% | HU | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | Resilience vs YB | Resilience 62% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | YB vs VG | VG 52% | VG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | AMG vs EB | EB 55% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 63% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 63% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 63% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 55% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 55% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 55% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | PlayTime vs AMG | PlayTime 55% | PlayTime | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 63% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 63% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | MOUZ vs YeS | YeS 61% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | EB vs x5 | EB 67% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | x5 vs AMG | AMG 63% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | EB 55% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | EB 55% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | EB 55% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | NAVI 57% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | NAVI 57% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | TeamDk 52% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | TeamDk 52% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | TeamDk 52% | pending | — |