Form
Pure win-rate over last 10 matches.
All-time accuracy
63.7%
198 / 311 settled
Last 50
56.0%
sliding window
Last 10
50.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.235
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.662
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$14.68 across 428 bets. ROI = +0.34%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 204 | 61.3% (125/204) | |
| 70–80% | 79 | 63.3% (50/79) | |
| 80–90% | 26 | 80.8% (21/26) | |
| 90–101% | 2 | 100.0% (2/2) |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| XG vs GL | XG 50% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs NAVI | Aurora 53% | 1.00 | |
| LGD vs TY | LGD 50% | 1.00 | |
| PV vs lvlUP | PV 53% | 1.00 | |
| TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 69% | 1.00 | |
| LGD vs XG | LGD 63% | 1.00 | |
| 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 58% | 1.00 | |
| Liquid vs YB | YB 67% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | 1.00 | |
| TY vs MOUZ | TY 67% | 1.00 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 60% | 1.00 | |
| BB vs OG | OG 57% | 1.00 | |
| Eye Gaming vs Shinigami Gam… | Eye Gaming 56% | 0.20 | |
| Shinigami Gam… vs Elite Eclipse | Elite Eclipse 79% | 0.20 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | Aurora 53% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | LGD 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | PV vs lvlUP | PV 53% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 69% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs XG | LGD 63% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 58% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Liquid vs YB | YB 67% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TY vs MOUZ | TY 67% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | BB 60% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | OG 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 56% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Shinigami G… vs Elite Eclip… | Elite Eclipse 79% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 55% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 55% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 56% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Rostik vs Stray | Rostik 67% | Stray | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | gpk vs Cake | Cake 60% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 53% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Cake vs gpk | Cake 67% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Stray vs Rostik | Rostik 69% | Stray | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs XG | XG 56% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Synapse vs YeS | YeS 56% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 55% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs IW | GL 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Team Solo vs avice | avice 60% | avice | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | avice vs Team Solo | avice 57% | avice | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | GL 55% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Shinigami G… vs Eye Gaming | Eye Gaming 56% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | 1w 55% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Kinetix vs YG | YG 55% | YG | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 56% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NMSS 50% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NMSS 50% | NMSS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Team TpaBoM… vs Stray | Team TpaBoMaH 53% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | YeS vs LYNX | YeS 64% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Stray vs Team TpaBoM… | Stray 54% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 56% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Team Solo 54% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 59% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 59% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Team Solo 63% | Cake | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | 1w vs TY | TY 56% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TM vs LYNX | TM 67% | LYNX | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 64% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 69% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Rostik vs Team NS | Rostik 67% | Rostik | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Team NS vs Rostik | Rostik 65% | Rostik | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 77% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 62% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | NAVI vs LGD | LGD 60% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | GL vs Aurora | Aurora 62% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 74% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Eye Gaming vs Dominion | Dominion 76% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | LGD 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | LGD 55% | NAVI | coin-flip |