Meta Strength
Team's recent hero pool weighted by current meta winrates.
All-time accuracy
52.8%
105 / 199 settled
Last 50
54.0%
sliding window
Last 10
40.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.245
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.684
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be $-57.93 across 309 bets. ROI = -1.87%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 161 | 50.3% (81/161) | |
| 60–70% | 34 | 61.8% (21/34) | |
| 70–80% | 4 | 75.0% (3/4) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 57% | 1.00 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | GL vs VG | GL 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TSpirit | Liquid 62% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 56% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 58% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | OG vs Resilience | OG 51% | Resilience | coin-flip |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TSpirit | Liquid 57% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Resilience vs OG | Resilience 54% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 56% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Resilience vs OG | Resilience 54% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | VG vs GL | GL 56% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 51% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 65% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 65% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | VG vs GL | GL 56% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Resilience vs OG | OG 53% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | TSpirit vs Liquid | Liquid 57% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 56% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | VSN vs BB | VSN 56% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Vitality Wa… vs DARKNESS GA… | DARKNESS GAMING 59% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TY | Liquid 53% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | BB vs VSN | VSN 55% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | VG vs HU | HU 57% | VG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | BB vs VSN | VSN 51% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | LGD vs NGX | NGX 56% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | LGD vs NGX | NGX 56% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TY | Liquid 58% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TSpirit | TSpirit 50% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 14 | VG vs HU | HU 55% | VG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Liquid | Liquid 58% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | TSpirit vs Aurora | TSpirit 50% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 14 | HU vs VG | HU 55% | HU | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | XG vs GL | GL 56% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | VG vs HU | HU 55% | HU | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | GL vs XG | GL 56% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Liquid | Liquid 58% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | TSpirit vs Aurora | TSpirit 50% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 13 | LGD vs Resilience | LGD 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Aug 13 | VSN vs FLCN | VSN 54% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | FLCN vs VSN | VSN 54% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 60% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | VSN vs FLCN | VSN 59% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | OG vs NGX | NGX 56% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | LGD vs Resilience | LGD 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Aug 13 | LGD vs Resilience | Resilience 58% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | NGX vs OG | OG 52% | OG | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | FLCN vs VSN | VSN 59% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 61% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | GL vs Aurora | Aurora 51% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 59% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | NGX vs OG | OG 52% | NGX | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | Resilience vs LGD | Resilience 50% | Resilience | coin-flip |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 61% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 51% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 13 | TY vs HU | HU 52% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | TY vs HU | HU 52% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 13 | TY vs HU | HU 52% | TY | ✗ miss |