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Nexus

META: 3-way consensus of Apex + Oracle + Eagle with avg confidence >55%.

All-time accuracy

75.7%

28 / 37 settled

Last 50

75.7%

sliding window

Last 10

60.0%

most recent

Brier score

0.198

lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)

Log-loss

0.586

lower = better

Simulated bankroll

If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$88.82 across 37 bets. ROI = +24.00%.

Calibration by confidence

When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.

Confidence range	Picks	Accuracy
50–60%	21	66.7% (14/21)
60–70%	13	84.6% (11/13)
70–80%	3	100.0% (3/3)
80–90%	0	—
90–101%	0	—

Upcoming picks

Match	This model picks	Confidence
EB vs Gotto H	EB 59%	0.01
TeamDk vs Hokori	TeamDk 56%	0.32
Carstensz vs TBD	Carstensz 55%	0.01

Recent picks (60)

When	Match	Pick	Outcome	Result
Jun 27	EB vs Gotto H	EB 59%	pending	—
Jun 27	TeamDk vs Hokori	TeamDk 56%	pending	—
Jun 27	Carstensz vs TBD	Carstensz 55%	pending	—
Jun 27	NAVI vs HU	NAVI 57%	HU	✗ miss
Jun 27	Resilience vs YB	Resilience 64%	Resilience	✓ HIT
Jun 27	Ivory vs MM	Ivory 56%	pending	—
Jun 27	Z10 vs Flame	Z10 62%	pending	—
Jun 27	NMSS vs RHCP	NMSS 64%	pending	—
Jun 27	PR vs Hive	PR 56%	pending	—
Jun 27	NMSS vs RHCP	NMSS 64%	pending	—
Jun 27	LGD vs TBD	LGD 70%	pending	—
Jun 27	LGD vs PlayTime	LGD 64%	LGD	✓ HIT
Jun 27	LGD vs PlayTime	LGD 64%	LGD	✓ HIT
Jun 27	LGD vs PlayTime	LGD 64%	LGD	✓ HIT
Jun 27	NMSS vs AMG	NMSS 59%	AMG	✗ miss
Jun 27	NMSS vs AMG	NMSS 59%	AMG	✗ miss
Jun 27	NMSS vs AMG	NMSS 59%	AMG	✗ miss
Jun 27	Z10 vs VP.P	Z10 62%	pending	—
Jun 27	PlayTime vs TBD	PlayTime 60%	pending	—
Jun 27	LGD vs PlayTime	LGD 64%	LGD	✓ HIT
Jun 27	LGD vs TBD	LGD 70%	pending	—
Jun 27	LGD vs PlayTime	LGD 64%	LGD	✓ HIT
Jun 27	Carstensz vs YG	Carstensz 55%	Carstensz	✓ HIT
Jun 27	RKX vs TBD	RKX 61%	pending	—
Jun 27	RKX vs Grind	RKX 61%	pending	—
Jun 27	TBD vs Z10	Z10 57%	pending	—
Jun 27	Bear vs Z10	Z10 57%	pending	—
Jun 27	TSpirit vs VP.P	TSpirit 60%	TSpirit	✓ HIT
Jun 27	XctN vs RKX	RKX 55%	RKX	✓ HIT
Jun 27	Z10 vs Flame	Z10 62%	pending	—
Jun 27	NAVI vs MODUS	NAVI 58%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Jun 27	NAVI vs MODUS	NAVI 58%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Jun 27	MOUZ vs YeS	YeS 58%	YeS	✓ HIT
Jun 27	RKX vs TBD	RKX 61%	pending	—
Jun 27	RKX vs OG	RKX 61%	OG	✗ miss
Jun 27	RKX vs OG	RKX 61%	OG	✗ miss
Jun 27	PR vs HU	PR 56%	PR	✓ HIT
Jun 27	PR vs L1GA	PR 56%	pending	—
Jun 27	PR vs HU	PR 56%	PR	✓ HIT
Jun 27	RKX vs TBD	RKX 61%	pending	—
Jun 27	RKX vs Grind	RKX 61%	pending	—
Jun 27	TSpirit vs TBD	TSpirit 60%	pending	—
Jun 27	TSpirit vs Enjoy	TSpirit 60%	TSpirit	✓ HIT
Jun 27	YeS vs VP	YeS 58%	VP	✗ miss
Jun 27	YeS vs TBD	YeS 58%	pending	—
Jun 27	YeS vs VP	YeS 58%	VP	✗ miss
Jun 27	PR vs TBD	PR 56%	pending	—
Jun 27	PR vs VISION	PR 56%	VISION	✗ miss
Jun 27	EB vs x5	EB 66%	pending	—
Jun 27	AMG vs Gotto H	AMG 58%	pending	—
Jun 27	GL vs 4A+I	GL 73%	GL	✓ HIT
Jun 27	EB vs TBD	EB 59%	pending	—
Jun 27	EB vs Gotto H	EB 59%	pending	—
Jun 27	Db vs DFam	Db 60%	pending	—
Jun 27	Carstensz vs MM	Carstensz 55%	pending	—
Jun 27	Carstensz vs MM	Carstensz 55%	pending	—
Jun 27	TSpirit vs TBD	TSpirit 60%	pending	—
Jun 27	TSpirit vs NGX	TSpirit 60%	TSpirit	✓ HIT
Jun 27	x5 vs AMG	AMG 61%	pending	—
Jun 27	Bug vs GL	GL 68%	GL	✓ HIT