Nexus
META: 3-way consensus of Apex + Oracle + Eagle with avg confidence >55%.
All-time accuracy
72.5%
279 / 385 settled
Last 50
76.0%
sliding window
Last 10
80.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.204
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.599
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$660.95 across 488 bets. ROI = +13.54%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 341 | 71.6% (244/341) | |
| 70–80% | 44 | 79.5% (35/44) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJohn vs PC | RJohn 64% | 0.01 | |
| oblood vs Xipto | Xipto 56% | 0.28 | |
| Angry vs Z10 | Angry 59% | 0.24 | |
| Synapse vs PR | Synapse 60% | 0.92 | |
| potn9k vs Synapse | Synapse 68% | 0.51 | |
| Synapse vs Nemiga | Synapse 62% | 0.87 | |
| PV vs DOKONC | PV 71% | 0.01 | |
| NH vs oveA | oveA 58% | 0.30 | |
| TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 72% | 0.97 | |
| FL vs PC | FL 68% | 0.49 | |
| ICxI vs Allied | ICxI 57% | 0.09 | |
| TSpirit vs FL | TSpirit 62% | 0.49 | |
| LGD vs LEGION | LGD 58% | 0.88 | |
| ICxI vs Angry | ICxI 58% | 0.24 | |
| Liquid vs LEGION | Liquid 62% | 0.91 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | XctN vs CR | XctN 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | RJohn vs PC | RJohn 64% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | oblood vs Xipto | Xipto 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Angry vs Z10 | Angry 59% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Synapse vs PR | Synapse 60% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | potn9k vs Synapse | Synapse 68% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Synapse vs Nemiga | Synapse 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | PV vs DOKONC | PV 71% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | NH vs oveA | oveA 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 72% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | FL vs PC | FL 68% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | ICxI vs Allied | ICxI 57% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | TSpirit vs FL | TSpirit 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | LGD vs LEGION | LGD 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | ICxI vs Angry | ICxI 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Liquid vs LEGION | Liquid 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs PC | FL 67% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs PC | PlayTime 64% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | 1w vs TSpirit | TSpirit 70% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs TSpirit | TSpirit 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs 1w | FL 69% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Nemiga | FL 62% | FL | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Nemiga | FL 59% | FL | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | Liquid vs LGD | Liquid 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 72% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 61% | Z10 | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 62% | CyberHero | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 61% | CyberHero | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs Zenith | PlayTime 63% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | IC x Insani… vs Xipto | Xipto 61% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PT vs Zenith | PT 71% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PR vs Angry | Angry 62% | Angry | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | LGD vs LEGION | LGD 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Liquid vs LEGION | Liquid 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Xipto vs FL | Xipto 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 61% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PC vs HU | HU 59% | HU | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | HU vs PC | HU 60% | HU | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | IAP vs AMG | IAP 58% | AMG | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | PC vs HU | HU 58% | HU | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs IC x Insani… | CyberHero 61% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs ICxI | CyberHero 58% | ICxI | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs ICxI | CyberHero 58% | ICxI | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | LEGION vs Xipto | Xipto 64% | LEGION | ✗ miss |
| Nov 11 | Xipto vs LEGION | Xipto 67% | Xipto | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs Synapse | PlayTime 59% | Synapse | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | HU vs YB | HU 57% | YB | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs ICxI | CyberHero 56% | ICxI | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | LEGION vs Xipto | Xipto 64% | LEGION | ✗ miss |
| Nov 11 | PR vs Angry | Angry 64% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 10 | CyberHero vs PR | CyberHero 67% | CyberHero | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 10 | LVLUP.A vs RTW | LVLUP.A 69% | pending | — |
| Nov 10 | HU vs IC x Insani… | HU 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 10 | FL vs PR | FL 70% | FL | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 10 | FL vs PR | FL 67% | FL | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 10 | Xipto vs MenaW | Xipto 69% | pending | — |
| Nov 10 | RTW vs MenaW | MenaW 56% | MenaW | coin-flip |
| Nov 10 | FL vs PR | FL 64% | FL | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 10 | CyberHero vs PR | CyberHero 64% | pending | — |