Nexus
META: 3-way consensus of Apex + Oracle + Eagle with avg confidence >55%.
All-time accuracy
69.8%
143 / 205 settled
Last 50
60.0%
sliding window
Last 10
60.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.214
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.618
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$377.96 across 301 bets. ROI = +12.56%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 188 | 67.6% (127/188) | |
| 70–80% | 17 | 94.1% (16/17) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| YACHE123 vs Db | Db 61% | 0.01 | |
| LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | 0.59 | |
| LGD vs NaVi | LGD 66% | 0.01 | |
| Ivory vs YACHE123 | Ivory 56% | 0.01 | |
| YACHE123 vs IAP | YACHE123 61% | 0.01 | |
| PV vs lvlUP | PV 55% | 0.51 | |
| TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 64% | 0.97 | |
| LGD vs XG | LGD 59% | 0.59 | |
| 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 64% | 0.97 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | 0.88 | |
| TY vs MOUZ | TY 69% | 0.97 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 60% | 0.93 | |
| Shinigami Gam… vs Elite Eclipse | Elite Eclipse 64% | 0.07 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | HellNight- vs lvlUP | lvlUP 60% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | YACHE123 vs Db | Db 61% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs NaVi | LGD 66% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Ivory vs YACHE123 | Ivory 56% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | YACHE123 vs IAP | YACHE123 61% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | PV vs lvlUP | PV 55% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 64% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs XG | LGD 59% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 64% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TY vs MOUZ | TY 69% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | BB 60% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Shinigami G… vs Elite Eclip… | Elite Eclipse 64% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Balu vs Z10 | Z10 69% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | XG vs NAVI | NAVI 65% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NaVi | Aurora 64% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 57% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | NAVI vs XG | NAVI 68% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | YBN vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 62% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | YBN vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 58% | Team Daxak | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 62% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 57% | XG | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 59% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Db vs CD | Db 67% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 56% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 58% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 58% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Rostik vs Stray | Rostik 61% | Stray | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | gpk vs Cake | Cake 56% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 56% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Cake vs gpk | Cake 65% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Stray vs Rostik | Rostik 62% | Stray | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs XG | LGD 55% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | YACHE123 vs Kinetix | YACHE123 59% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1win Team | GL 61% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs IW | GL 56% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Team Solo vs avice | avice 58% | avice | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | avice vs Team Solo | avice 58% | avice | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 63% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NaVi | NMSS 62% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | 1w 56% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 61% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 59% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 61% | NMSS | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1win Team | TY 72% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | YeS vs LYNX | YeS 59% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 60% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 59% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TM vs LYNX | TM 65% | LYNX | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 64% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 63% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Rostik vs Team NS | Rostik 65% | Rostik | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Team NS vs Rostik | Rostik 59% | Rostik | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 68% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 61% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | GL vs Aurora | Aurora 61% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 65% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Eye Gaming vs Dominion | Dominion 63% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 57% | LGD | coin-flip |