Nexus
META: 3-way consensus of Apex + Oracle + Eagle with avg confidence >55%.
All-time accuracy
68.8%
95 / 138 settled
Last 50
70.0%
sliding window
Last 10
70.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.218
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.627
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$568.84 across 280 bets. ROI = +20.32%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 74 | 67.6% (50/74) | |
| 60–70% | 59 | 71.2% (42/59) | |
| 70–80% | 5 | 60.0% (3/5) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 59% | 0.97 | |
| PARIVISION vs Resilience | Resilience 57% | 0.01 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 61% | 0.18 | |
| VSN vs Resilience | VSN 56% | 0.58 | |
| NGX vs IW | NGX 59% | 0.68 | |
| TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 61% | 0.91 | |
| Liquid vs VG | Liquid 61% | 0.97 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 62% | 0.88 | |
| TY vs HU | TY 61% | 0.57 | |
| TY vs L1 | TY 71% | 0.01 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 59% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | PARIVISION vs Resilience | Resilience 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | BB vs OG | BB 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | VSN vs Resilience | VSN 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | NGX vs IW | NGX 59% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | Liquid vs VG | Liquid 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 62% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | TY vs HU | TY 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | TY vs L1 | TY 71% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | lvlUP vs SpiritAc | lvlUP 67% | lvlUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | Z10 vs YeS | Z10 61% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | SpiritAc vs NH | SpiritAc 60% | SpiritAc | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | Z10 vs YeS | Z10 59% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | IW vs NGX | NGX 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | Z10 vs Ilbirs | Z10 57% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 64% | MOUZ | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 68% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | SpiritAc vs lvlUP | lvlUP 66% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | Z10 vs NAVI | Z10 57% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | Ilbirs vs RE | Ilbirs 59% | RE | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | LevelUP vs MOUZ | LevelUP 68% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | MOUZ vs LevelUP | LevelUP 65% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | PR vs YeS | PR 63% | YeS | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | YeS vs PR | PR 56% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | lvlUP vs LYNX | lvlUP 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | AMG vs Jenz | AMG 66% | AMG | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs AMG | AMG 59% | AMG | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs Ilbirs | Ilbirs 67% | Ilbirs | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | FTS vs PC | PC 65% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs Ilbirs | Ilbirs 68% | Ilbirs | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Ilbirs vs NH | Ilbirs 68% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | PR vs Team Synapse | PR 64% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 07 | FTS vs lvlUP | lvlUP 67% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | Nemiga vs Jenz | Nemiga 56% | Nemiga | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 07 | PR vs Jenz | PR 56% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 07 | RE`Arise vs SpiritAc | RE`Arise 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | Team Syntax vs Ilbirs | Team Syntax 58% | Ilbirs | ✗ miss |
| Aug 07 | RE`Arise vs SpiritAc | RE`Arise 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | FTS vs lvlUP | lvlUP 67% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | Ilbirs vs NH | Ilbirs 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | NH vs Z10 | Z10 56% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 06 | FTS vs Team Syntax | Team Syntax 66% | pending | — |
| Aug 06 | LevelUP vs NH | LevelUP 59% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 06 | RE`Arise vs NH | NH 57% | RE`Arise | ✗ miss |
| Aug 05 | FLCN vs Liquid | FLCN 61% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 05 | Team Syntax vs RE`Arise | Team Syntax 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 05 | Liquid vs 1win Team | Liquid 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 05 | FLCN vs Liquid | FLCN 58% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 05 | PT vs YB | PT 68% | PT | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 05 | YB vs PT | PT 63% | PT | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 05 | BB vs 1win Team | BB 68% | pending | — |
| Aug 05 | PT vs YB | PT 61% | PT | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 05 | Liquid vs 1w | 1w 58% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 05 | YB vs PT | PT 55% | PT | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 05 | BB vs 1w | BB 59% | 1w | ✗ miss |
| Aug 05 | Resilience vs RE | Resilience 60% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 05 | BB vs 1w | BB 56% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 05 | Resilience vs RE | Resilience 56% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |