Oracle
Conservative: Elo HQ dampened when streaks disagree.
All-time accuracy
67.7%
90 / 133 settled
Last 50
68.0%
sliding window
Last 10
70.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.229
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.651
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$643.13 across 247 bets. ROI = +26.04%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 106 | 65.1% (69/106) | |
| 60–70% | 27 | 77.8% (21/27) | |
| 70–80% | 0 | — | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 58% | 0.96 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 57% | 0.11 | |
| VSN vs Resilience | VSN 53% | 0.45 | |
| NGX vs IW | NGX 63% | 0.54 | |
| TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 59% | 0.84 | |
| Liquid vs VG | Liquid 57% | 0.96 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | 0.74 | |
| TY vs HU | TY 63% | 0.47 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | FLCN vs LGD | FLCN 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | BB vs OG | BB 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | VSN vs Resilience | VSN 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | NGX vs IW | NGX 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | TSpirit vs XG | TSpirit 59% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | Liquid vs VG | Liquid 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | TY vs HU | TY 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 12 | RE vs LevelUP | RE 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | lvlUP vs SpiritAc | lvlUP 63% | lvlUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | Z10 vs YeS | Z10 59% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | SpiritAc vs NH | SpiritAc 56% | SpiritAc | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | Z10 vs YeS | Z10 57% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | MOUZ vs RE | RE 52% | RE | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 11 | IW vs NGX | NGX 59% | pending | — |
| Aug 11 | MOUZ vs RE | RE 50% | MOUZ | coin-flip |
| Aug 11 | LevelUP vs NAVI | LevelUP 51% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Aug 11 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | LevelUP 52% | LevelUP | coin-flip |
| Aug 10 | LYNX vs RE`Arise | LYNX 52% | RE`Arise | coin-flip |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | YeS 52% | LevelUP | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | YeS vs LevelUP | LevelUP 52% | YeS | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | Z10 vs Ilbirs | Z10 58% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | Z10 vs Ilbirs | Z10 55% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 58% | MOUZ | ✗ miss |
| Aug 10 | PR vs MOUZ | PR 62% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 10 | LV United vs Dark Rebell… | Dark Rebellion 51% | pending | — |
| Aug 10 | Dominion vs Elite Eclip… | Dominion 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | RE`Arise vs Ilbirs | RE`Arise 53% | RE`Arise | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | SpiritAc vs lvlUP | lvlUP 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | Z10 vs NAVI | Z10 58% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | RE vs Ilbirs | RE 52% | RE | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | NH vs FTS | NH 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 09 | LevelUP vs MOUZ | LevelUP 55% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | MOUZ vs LevelUP | LevelUP 61% | LevelUP | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | YeS vs PR | YeS 51% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Aug 09 | PR vs YeS | PR 59% | YeS | ✗ miss |
| Aug 09 | YeS vs PR | PR 53% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 09 | Riftwalkers vs Wiser Warri… | Riftwalkers 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | lvlUP vs LYNX | lvlUP 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | AMG vs Jenz | AMG 60% | AMG | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs AMG | AMG 54% | AMG | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs Ilbirs | Ilbirs 53% | Ilbirs | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | FTS vs PC | PC 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | Jenz vs Ilbirs | Ilbirs 61% | Ilbirs | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 08 | Ilbirs vs NH | Ilbirs 62% | pending | — |
| Aug 08 | PR vs Team Synapse | PR 59% | PR | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 07 | PC vs LYNX | PC 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | Nemiga vs Jenz | Nemiga 53% | Nemiga | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 07 | Jenz vs Nemiga | Jenz 54% | Nemiga | ✗ miss |
| Aug 07 | PR vs Jenz | PR 50% | PR | coin-flip |
| Aug 07 | RE`Arise vs SpiritAc | RE`Arise 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | Jenz vs PR | Jenz 57% | PR | ✗ miss |
| Aug 07 | Team Syntax vs Ilbirs | Team Syntax 52% | Ilbirs | coin-flip |
| Aug 07 | Team Syntax vs Ilbirs | Team Syntax 56% | Ilbirs | ✗ miss |
| Aug 07 | RE`Arise vs SpiritAc | RE`Arise 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | PC vs LYNX | PC 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | Ilbirs vs NH | Ilbirs 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 07 | NH vs Z10 | Z10 54% | Z10 | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 06 | FTS vs Team Syntax | Team Syntax 55% | pending | — |