Oracle
Conservative: Elo HQ dampened when streaks disagree.
All-time accuracy
74.4%
125 / 168 settled
Last 50
72.0%
sliding window
Last 10
90.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.205
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.601
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$393.82 across 190 bets. ROI = +20.73%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 167 | 74.3% (124/167) | |
| 70–80% | 1 | 100.0% (1/1) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Z10 vs Angry | Z10 51% | 0.09 | |
| oblood vs Xipto | Xipto 58% | 0.14 | |
| Angry vs Z10 | Angry 53% | 0.09 | |
| Nemiga vs PR | PR 50% | 0.96 | |
| GL vs Aurora | Aurora 50% | 0.96 | |
| Synapse vs PR | Synapse 57% | 0.96 | |
| potn9k vs Synapse | Synapse 59% | 0.41 | |
| Synapse vs Nemiga | Synapse 59% | 0.96 | |
| SpiritAc vs ICxI | ICxI 52% | 0.96 | |
| NH vs oveA | oveA 53% | 0.16 | |
| TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 56% | 0.96 | |
| GL vs CyberHero | GL 51% | 0.96 | |
| PlayTime vs HU | HU 52% | 0.59 | |
| PV vs YeS | PV 60% | 0.11 | |
| 4iki vs SpiritAc | 4iki 56% | 0.20 | |
| FL vs PC | FL 56% | 0.38 | |
| LGD vs Liquid | LGD 51% | 0.73 | |
| ICxI vs Allied | ICxI 55% | 0.05 | |
| CyberHero vs Xipto | CyberHero 52% | 0.91 | |
| TSpirit vs FL | TSpirit 63% | 0.38 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | XctN vs CR | XctN 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Z10 vs Angry | Z10 51% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | oblood vs Xipto | Xipto 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Angry vs Z10 | Angry 53% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Nemiga vs PR | PR 50% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | GL vs Aurora | Aurora 50% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Synapse vs PR | Synapse 57% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | potn9k vs Synapse | Synapse 59% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Synapse vs Nemiga | Synapse 59% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | SpiritAc vs ICxI | ICxI 52% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | NH vs oveA | oveA 53% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | GL vs CyberHero | GL 51% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | PlayTime vs HU | HU 52% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | PV vs YeS | PV 60% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | 4iki vs SpiritAc | 4iki 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | FL vs PC | FL 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | LGD vs Liquid | LGD 51% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | ICxI vs Allied | ICxI 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | CyberHero vs Xipto | CyberHero 52% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | TSpirit vs FL | TSpirit 63% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | LGD vs LEGION | LGD 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | SpiritAc vs Z10 | SpiritAc 53% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | ICxI vs Angry | ICxI 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 12 | Liquid vs LEGION | Liquid 59% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | potn9k vs PR | PR 52% | PR | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Xipto | CyberHero 52% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs PC | FL 67% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs PC | PlayTime 62% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | 1w vs TSpirit | TSpirit 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs TSpirit | TSpirit 60% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs 1w | FL 60% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 54% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Aurora | Aurora 50% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Nemiga | FL 62% | FL | ✓ HIT |
| Nov 11 | potn9k vs PR | potn9k 51% | PR | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs YeS | PlayTime 52% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Nemiga | FL 61% | FL | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | potn9k vs Zenith | Zenith 51% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Liquid vs LGD | Liquid 53% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Aurora vs CyberHero | Aurora 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 56% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Xipto vs FL | Xipto 54% | FL | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 58% | Z10 | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs YeS | PlayTime 52% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | FL vs Xipto | Xipto 53% | FL | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 60% | CyberHero | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 60% | CyberHero | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | PlayTime vs Zenith | PlayTime 55% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PT vs Zenith | PT 65% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | PR vs Angry | Angry 53% | Angry | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | Z10 vs CyberHero | CyberHero 51% | CyberHero | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | LGD vs LEGION | LGD 58% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Liquid vs LEGION | Liquid 59% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | Xipto vs FL | Xipto 57% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | CyberHero vs Z10 | CyberHero 60% | pending | — |
| Nov 11 | AMG vs IAP | AMG 55% | IAP | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | PC vs HU | HU 59% | HU | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | FL vs CyberHero | CyberHero 52% | CyberHero | coin-flip |
| Nov 11 | IAP vs AMG | AMG 52% | AMG | coin-flip |