Oracle
Conservative: Elo HQ dampened when streaks disagree.
All-time accuracy
75.0%
66 / 88 settled
Last 50
74.0%
sliding window
Last 10
60.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.204
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.599
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$252.02 across 108 bets. ROI = +23.34%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 87 | 74.7% (65/87) | |
| 70–80% | 1 | 100.0% (1/1) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | 0.38 | |
| PV vs lvlUP | PV 58% | 0.25 | |
| TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 62% | 0.96 | |
| LGD vs XG | LGD 57% | 0.38 | |
| 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 61% | 0.96 | |
| Liquid vs YB | Liquid 53% | 0.34 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 55% | 0.96 | |
| TY vs MOUZ | TY 64% | 0.96 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 59% | 0.96 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 55% | 0.22 | |
| Eye Gaming vs Shinigami Gam… | Eye Gaming 54% | 0.05 | |
| Shinigami Gam… vs Elite Eclipse | Elite Eclipse 57% | 0.05 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | PV vs lvlUP | PV 58% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 62% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs XG | LGD 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 61% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Liquid vs YB | Liquid 53% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 55% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TY vs MOUZ | TY 64% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | BB 59% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | BB 55% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 54% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Shinigami G… vs Elite Eclip… | Elite Eclipse 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Balu vs Z10 | Z10 58% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Rostik vs avice | Rostik 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | XG vs NAVI | NAVI 62% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 56% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | NAVI vs XG | NAVI 66% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | YBN vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 61% | Team Daxak | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 54% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | YBN vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 57% | Team Daxak | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 50% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 61% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 54% | XG | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 59% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 52% | XG | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | GL vs XG | GL 57% | XG | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 55% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 52% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 58% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 51% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 58% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Rostik vs Stray | Rostik 55% | Stray | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | gpk vs Cake | Cake 52% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 56% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Cake vs gpk | Cake 62% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Stray vs Rostik | Rostik 57% | Stray | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs XG | LGD 56% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Synapse vs YeS | Synapse 55% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 52% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs IW | GL 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Team Solo vs avice | avice 56% | avice | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | avice vs Team Solo | avice 57% | avice | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | 1w 51% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Shinigami G… vs Eye Gaming | Shinigami Gaming 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | 1w 54% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Kinetix vs YG | YG 52% | YG | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 59% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 56% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | NMSS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Team TpaBoM… vs Stray | Team TpaBoMaH 54% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | YeS vs LYNX | YeS 55% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Stray vs Team TpaBoM… | Stray 54% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 54% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Cake 57% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 58% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 57% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Cake 53% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | 1w vs TY | TY 50% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TM vs LYNX | TM 60% | LYNX | coin-flip |