← All models

Phantom

High-conviction: only commits when Elo + WR10 strongly agree.

All-time accuracy

72.4%

147 / 203 settled

Last 50

88.0%

sliding window

Last 10

100.0%

most recent

Brier score

0.209

lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)

Log-loss

0.606

lower = better

Simulated bankroll

If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$164.86 across 227 bets. ROI = +7.26%.

Calibration by confidence

When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.

Confidence range	Picks	Accuracy
50–60%	0	—
60–70%	138	67.4% (93/138)
70–80%	60	81.7% (49/60)
80–90%	5	100.0% (5/5)
90–101%	0	—

Upcoming picks

When	Match	This model picks	Confidence
	LGD vs TSpirit	TSpirit 68%	1.00
	TY vs LGD	TY 72%	0.97

Recent picks (60)

When	Match	Pick	Outcome	Result
Oct 06	LGD vs TSpirit	TSpirit 68%	pending	—
Oct 06	TY vs LGD	TY 72%	pending	—
Oct 05	Synapse vs Z10	Synapse 73%	pending	—
Oct 05	Synapse vs HU	Synapse 79%	Synapse	✓ HIT
Oct 05	Synapse vs HU	Synapse 78%	Synapse	✓ HIT
Oct 05	Synapse vs HU	Synapse 76%	Synapse	✓ HIT
Oct 03	LGD vs GL	LGD 59%	LGD	coin-flip
Oct 03	LGD vs GL	LGD 59%	GL	coin-flip
Oct 03	PV vs Aurora	PV 73%	PV	✓ HIT
Oct 03	PV vs Aurora	PV 72%	PV	✓ HIT
Oct 03	LGD vs GL	LGD 60%	GL	coin-flip
Oct 03	Aurora vs PV	PV 67%	PV	✓ HIT
Oct 02	Liquid vs GL	Liquid 56%	GL	coin-flip
Oct 01	Hokori vs Synapse	Synapse 74%	pending	—
Oct 01	TY vs BB	TY 80%	pending	—
Oct 01	Aurora vs Liquid	Aurora 57%	Liquid	coin-flip
Oct 01	Aurora vs Liquid	Aurora 57%	Liquid	coin-flip
Oct 01	TY vs BETBOOM	TY 74%	TY	✓ HIT
Oct 01	BETBOOM vs TY	TY 69%	TY	✓ HIT
Oct 01	BETBOOM vs TY	TY 68%	TY	✓ HIT
Sep 30	TSpirit vs IW	TSpirit 73%	pending	—
Sep 30	PV vs LGD	PV 73%	PV	✓ HIT
Sep 30	lvlUP vs XG	lvlUP 67%	XG	✗ miss
Sep 30	PV vs LGD	PV 72%	PV	✓ HIT
Sep 30	PV vs LGD	PV 72%	PV	✓ HIT
Sep 30	LGD vs PV	PV 67%	PV	✓ HIT
Sep 30	PV vs LGD	PV 68%	PV	✓ HIT
Sep 30	NMSS vs NAVI	NAVI 62%	NMSS	✗ miss
Sep 30	BETBOOM vs OG	BETBOOM 60%	BETBOOM	coin-flip
Sep 30	NMSS vs NAVI	NAVI 62%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Sep 30	TSpirit vs 1w	TSpirit 65%	TSpirit	✓ HIT
Sep 30	TY vs MOUZ	TY 78%	TY	✓ HIT
Sep 30	1w vs TSpirit	TSpirit 65%	TSpirit	✓ HIT
Sep 30	MOUZ vs TY	TY 74%	TY	✓ HIT
Sep 30	MOUZ vs TY	TY 73%	TY	✓ HIT
Sep 29	Aurora vs GL	Aurora 61%	Aurora	✓ HIT
Sep 29	LGD vs XG	LGD 61%	LGD	coin-flip
Sep 29	XG vs LGD	LGD 59%	XG	coin-flip
Sep 29	LGD vs XG	LGD 61%	LGD	coin-flip
Sep 29	NMSS vs TSpirit	TSpirit 62%	TSpirit	✓ HIT
Sep 29	1w vs NAVI	NAVI 62%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Sep 29	NAVI vs 1w	NAVI 62%	1w	✓ HIT
Sep 29	TSpirit vs NMSS	TSpirit 66%	NMSS	✗ miss
Sep 29	PV vs LevelUP	PV 81%	PV	✓ HIT
Sep 29	NMSS vs TSpirit	TSpirit 63%	TSpirit	✓ HIT
Sep 29	PV vs LevelUP	PV 73%	PV	✓ HIT
Sep 27	LGD vs NAVI	NAVI 61%	NAVI	coin-flip
Sep 27	LGD vs NAVI	NAVI 63%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Sep 27	LGD vs NAVI	NAVI 63%	LGD	✗ miss
Sep 27	LGD vs NAVI	NAVI 61%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Sep 26	XG vs NAVI	NAVI 69%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Sep 26	LGD vs TY	TY 57%	TY	coin-flip
Sep 26	NAVI vs XG	NAVI 72%	pending	—
Sep 26	Aurora vs NAVI	NAVI 64%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Sep 26	Aurora vs NAVI	NAVI 62%	NAVI	✓ HIT
Sep 25	XG vs LGD	LGD 62%	LGD	✓ HIT
Sep 25	XG vs LGD	LGD 62%	LGD	✓ HIT
Sep 25	XG vs LGD	LGD 63%	LGD	✓ HIT
Sep 25	LGD vs XG	LGD 66%	LGD	✓ HIT
Sep 25	Synapse vs YeS	Synapse 60%	YeS	coin-flip