SOS
Strength of schedule: form weighted by opponent quality.
All-time accuracy
73.3%
11 / 15 settled
Last 50
73.3%
sliding window
Last 10
60.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.214
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.620
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$34.50 across 15 bets. ROI = +23.00%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 10 | 70.0% (7/10) | |
| 60–70% | 5 | 80.0% (4/5) | |
| 70–80% | 0 | — | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TeamDk vs Hokori | TeamDk 58% | 0.60 | |
| Carstensz vs MM | MM 70% | 0.20 | |
| VP vs HU | VP 61% | 0.27 |
Recent picks (28)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27 | PR vs YeS | PR 53% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs Hokori | TeamDk 58% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | Carstensz vs MM | MM 70% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | VP vs HU | VP 61% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs HU | NAVI 66% | HU | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | Resilience vs YB | Resilience 66% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | YB vs VG | VG 53% | VG | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | AMG vs EB | AMG 50% | AMG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 58% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 58% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 58% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 58% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 58% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | NMSS 58% | AMG | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | PlayTime vs AMG | PlayTime 54% | PlayTime | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 58% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 58% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | MOUZ vs YeS | YeS 67% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | EB vs x5 | EB 74% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | x5 vs AMG | AMG 74% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | AMG 50% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | AMG 50% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | AMG 50% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | NAVI 65% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | NAVI 65% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | TeamDk 54% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | TeamDk 54% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | TeamDk 54% | pending | — |