SOS
Strength of schedule: form weighted by opponent quality.
All-time accuracy
65.3%
239 / 366 settled
Last 50
62.0%
sliding window
Last 10
60.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.236
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.816
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be $-138.28 across 459 bets. ROI = -3.01%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 205 | 59.5% (122/205) | |
| 70–80% | 108 | 74.1% (80/108) | |
| 80–90% | 24 | 58.3% (14/24) | |
| 90–101% | 29 | 79.3% (23/29) |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| XG vs GL | XG 52% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs NAVI | Aurora 55% | 1.00 | |
| LGD vs TY | LGD 58% | 1.00 | |
| PV vs lvlUP | lvlUP 58% | 0.73 | |
| TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 79% | 1.00 | |
| LGD vs XG | LGD 58% | 1.00 | |
| 1w vs NAVI | 1w 54% | 1.00 | |
| Liquid vs YB | YB 73% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 52% | 1.00 | |
| TY vs MOUZ | TY 62% | 1.00 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 52% | 1.00 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 69% | 0.67 | |
| Eye Gaming vs Shinigami Gam… | Eye Gaming 50% | 0.13 | |
| Shinigami Gam… vs Elite Eclipse | Elite Eclipse 90% | 0.13 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | XG vs GL | XG 52% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs NAVI | Aurora 55% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs TY | LGD 58% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | PV vs lvlUP | lvlUP 58% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 79% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs XG | LGD 58% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | 1w vs NAVI | 1w 54% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Liquid vs YB | YB 73% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 52% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | TY vs MOUZ | TY 62% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | BB vs OG | BB 52% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | BB vs OG | BB 69% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Shinigami G… vs Elite Eclip… | Elite Eclipse 90% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | Aurora 51% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | Aurora 59% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 58% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 60% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 58% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Rostik vs Stray | Rostik 55% | Stray | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | gpk vs Cake | Cake 66% | Cake | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 56% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Cake vs gpk | Cake 75% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Stray vs Rostik | Rostik 63% | Stray | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs XG | LGD 55% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Synapse vs YeS | Synapse 59% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | Aurora 59% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs IW | IW 56% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Team Solo vs avice | avice 71% | avice | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | avice vs Team Solo | avice 66% | avice | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | 1w 55% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 64% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | Shinigami G… vs Eye Gaming | Shinigami Gaming 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | 1w 59% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Kinetix vs YG | YG 56% | YG | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 60% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 57% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 61% | NMSS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Team TpaBoM… vs Stray | Team TpaBoMaH 53% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | YeS vs LYNX | YeS 56% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Stray vs Team TpaBoM… | Stray 60% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Cake 69% | Cake | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | 1w 56% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | 1w 61% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Cake 60% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | 1w vs TY | 1w 61% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | TM vs LYNX | TM 68% | LYNX | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 62% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 80% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Rostik vs Team NS | Rostik 66% | Rostik | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Team NS vs Rostik | Rostik 59% | Rostik | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 80% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 59% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | NAVI vs LGD | LGD 56% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | GL vs Aurora | Aurora 59% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | gpk vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 77% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Eye Gaming vs Dominion | Dominion 90% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | LGD 51% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | LGD 55% | NAVI | coin-flip |