Streak
Win/loss streak signal blended with Elo.
All-time accuracy
69.4%
256 / 369 settled
Last 50
60.0%
sliding window
Last 10
90.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.214
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.618
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$281.99 across 485 bets. ROI = +5.81%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 231 | 64.1% (148/231) | |
| 70–80% | 123 | 76.4% (94/123) | |
| 80–90% | 15 | 93.3% (14/15) | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 72% | 0.48 | |
| PV vs lvlUP | PV 66% | 0.31 | |
| TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 72% | 0.85 | |
| LGD vs XG | LGD 60% | 0.48 | |
| 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 72% | 0.85 | |
| Liquid vs YB | Liquid 56% | 0.43 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | 0.85 | |
| TY vs MOUZ | TY 78% | 0.85 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 66% | 0.85 | |
| BB vs OG | BB 59% | 0.28 | |
| Eye Gaming vs Shinigami Gam… | Eye Gaming 57% | 0.06 | |
| Shinigami Gam… vs Elite Eclipse | Elite Eclipse 66% | 0.06 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 72% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | PV vs lvlUP | PV 66% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TSpirit vs NMSS | TSpirit 72% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs XG | LGD 60% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 72% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Liquid vs YB | Liquid 56% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TY vs MOUZ | TY 78% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | BB 66% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | BB 59% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Shinigami G… vs Elite Eclip… | Elite Eclipse 66% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Balu vs Z10 | Z10 68% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Rostik vs avice | avice 54% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | XG vs NAVI | NAVI 72% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 65% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | NAVI vs XG | NAVI 77% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | YBN vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 70% | Team Daxak | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 60% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | YBN vs Team Daxak | Team Daxak 61% | Team Daxak | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | LGD 52% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 74% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 59% | XG | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 68% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 54% | XG | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | GL vs XG | GL 66% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 53% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 67% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 51% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 67% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | Rostik vs Stray | Rostik 57% | Stray | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | gpk vs Cake | Cake 52% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | LGD 62% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | Cake vs gpk | Cake 72% | gpk | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Stray vs Rostik | Rostik 68% | Stray | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs XG | LGD 57% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Synapse vs YeS | Synapse 58% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | TY 53% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs IW | GL 64% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | Team Solo vs avice | avice 64% | avice | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | avice vs Team Solo | avice 64% | avice | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | GL 52% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 70% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | Shinigami G… vs Eye Gaming | Eye Gaming 50% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | 1w 57% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Kinetix vs YG | YG 57% | YG | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 67% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 59% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 68% | NMSS | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Team TpaBoM… vs Stray | Team TpaBoMaH 60% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | YeS vs LYNX | YeS 56% | YeS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Stray vs Team TpaBoM… | Stray 57% | Team TpaBoMaH | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | Eye Gaming vs Shinigami G… | Eye Gaming 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Cake 64% | Cake | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 69% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 66% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Cake vs Team Solo | Cake 54% | Cake | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | 1w vs TY | TY 52% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TM vs LYNX | TM 69% | LYNX | ✗ miss |