Synergy
Hero co-occurrence winrates within recent team lineups.
All-time accuracy
63.6%
7 / 11 settled
Last 50
63.6%
sliding window
Last 10
70.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.211
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.613
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be $-1.54 across 11 bets. ROI = -1.40%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 3 | 0.0% (0/3) | |
| 60–70% | 6 | 100.0% (6/6) | |
| 70–80% | 2 | 50.0% (1/2) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| EB vs TeamDk | EB 66% | 1.00 |
Recent picks (26)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28 | EB vs TeamDk | EB 66% | pending | — |
| Jun 28 | TeamDk vs Hokori | TeamDk 62% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | PR vs YeS | YeS 67% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | Resilience vs YB | Resilience 79% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | YB vs VG | YB 51% | VG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | AMG vs EB | EB 51% | AMG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 62% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 62% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 62% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | AMG 50% | AMG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | AMG 50% | AMG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | NMSS vs AMG | AMG 50% | AMG | coin-flip |
| Jun 27 | PlayTime vs AMG | AMG 71% | PlayTime | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 62% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | LGD vs PlayTime | LGD 62% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Jun 27 | MOUZ vs YeS | MOUZ 57% | YeS | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | EB vs x5 | EB 71% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | x5 vs AMG | AMG 70% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | EB 51% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | EB 51% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | EB vs AMG | EB 51% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | MOUZ 56% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | NAVI vs MOUZ | MOUZ 56% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | EB 63% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | EB 63% | pending | — |
| Jun 27 | TeamDk vs EB | EB 63% | pending | — |