Synergy
Hero co-occurrence winrates within recent team lineups.
All-time accuracy
54.1%
248 / 458 settled
Last 50
50.0%
sliding window
Last 10
70.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.286
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.794
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be $-1358.66 across 582 bets. ROI = -23.34%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 187 | 52.4% (98/187) | |
| 70–80% | 192 | 56.3% (108/192) | |
| 80–90% | 65 | 55.4% (36/65) | |
| 90–101% | 14 | 42.9% (6/14) |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 79% | 1.00 | |
| TSpirit vs NMSS | NMSS 80% | 1.00 | |
| LGD vs XG | LGD 54% | 1.00 | |
| 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 94% | 0.80 | |
| Liquid vs YB | Liquid 55% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs GL | Aurora 65% | 0.85 | |
| TY vs MOUZ | TY 83% | 1.00 | |
| BB vs OG | OG 77% | 1.00 | |
| BB vs OG | OG 58% | 0.50 | |
| Shinigami Gam… vs Elite Eclipse | Shinigami Gaming 70% | 0.30 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | LGD vs NAVI | NAVI 79% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TSpirit vs NMSS | NMSS 80% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs XG | LGD 54% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | 1w vs NAVI | NAVI 94% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Liquid vs YB | Liquid 55% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 65% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | TY vs MOUZ | TY 83% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | OG 77% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | BB vs OG | OG 58% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Shinigami G… vs Elite Eclip… | Shinigami Gaming 70% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | Balu vs Z10 | Balu 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | XG vs NAVI | NAVI 70% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 74% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | NAVI vs XG | NAVI 69% | pending | — |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | TY 74% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | LGD vs TY | LGD 51% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 76% | NAVI | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 67% | XG | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | Aurora vs NAVI | NAVI 52% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 26 | XG vs GL | XG 75% | XG | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 26 | GL vs XG | XG 71% | XG | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | Aurora 75% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | Aurora 75% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 76% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 71% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 76% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | XG vs LGD | XG 76% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | LGD vs XG | XG 78% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | Synapse vs YeS | YeS 75% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | Aurora vs TY | Aurora 77% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs IW | IW 55% | pending | — |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | GL 77% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 56% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | GL vs 1w | GL 58% | GL | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | Kinetix vs YG | YG 55% | YG | coin-flip |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NMSS 64% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NMSS 67% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Sep 25 | NMSS vs NAVI | NMSS 57% | NMSS | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | YeS vs LYNX | YeS 68% | YeS | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 72% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | TY vs 1w | TY 71% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | 1w vs TY | TY 57% | TY | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | TM vs LYNX | TM 80% | LYNX | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 83% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | Aurora vs GL | Aurora 67% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | NAVI vs LGD | LGD 54% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | GL vs Aurora | Aurora 67% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | LGD 58% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | LGD 66% | NAVI | ✗ miss |
| Sep 24 | LGD vs NAVI | LGD 59% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 24 | XG vs NMSS | XG 74% | XG | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | XG vs NMSS | XG 76% | XG | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 24 | NMSS vs XG | XG 66% | XG | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 23 | Kalm vs LYNX | Kalm 81% | pending | — |
| Sep 23 | Synapse vs YeS | YeS 63% | Synapse | ✗ miss |
| Sep 23 | LGD vs MOUZ | MOUZ 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 23 | LGD vs MOUZ | MOUZ 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Sep 23 | TM vs Nemiga | TM 91% | TM | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 23 | NMSS vs CVS | NMSS 65% | NMSS | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 23 | NMSS vs CVS | NMSS 66% | CVS | ✗ miss |