WR10
Win-rate vs top-10 opponents, blended with Elo.
All-time accuracy
53.4%
93 / 174 settled
Last 50
58.0%
sliding window
Last 10
50.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.256
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.709
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be $-283.18 across 208 bets. ROI = -13.61%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 60 | 43.3% (26/60) | |
| 60–70% | 59 | 50.8% (30/59) | |
| 70–80% | 40 | 67.5% (27/40) | |
| 80–90% | 15 | 66.7% (10/15) | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLCN vs VG | FLCN 66% | 1.00 | |
| TSpirit vs Resilience | TSpirit 56% | 0.70 | |
| LGD vs TY | LGD 50% | 1.00 | |
| OG vs XG | OG 57% | 0.20 | |
| OG vs XG | OG 57% | 0.20 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 66% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs Resilience | TSpirit 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs TY | LGD 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | OG 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | OG 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 58% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 55% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 72% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 72% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | OG 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 65% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 72% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Aurora 55% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | TY 72% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Liquid 57% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 69% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Liquid 57% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 64% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 69% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs VG | LGD 84% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | XG vs Resilience | Resilience 55% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | OG vs GL | OG 63% | GL | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | XG 58% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VG vs LGD | LGD 84% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | GL vs OG | OG 63% | GL | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 55% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 62% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 68% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 60% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs VSN | VSN 60% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 68% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 64% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VG vs NGX | NGX 86% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 77% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 67% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | HU vs OG | HU 54% | OG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 60% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 64% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TY vs Resilience | TY 62% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs VG | NGX 86% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | HU vs OG | HU 54% | HU | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 67% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs Resilience | TY 58% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 77% | GL | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 77% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs TY | TY 86% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | OG vs HU | HU 54% | OG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 67% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | HU vs OG | HU 54% | OG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | GL vs FLCN | FLCN 77% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 67% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs TY | TY 65% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 62% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 61% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 61% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | GL vs VG | GL 59% | VG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TSpirit | Liquid 62% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 58% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 52% | XG | coin-flip |