WR10
Win-rate vs top-10 opponents, blended with Elo.
All-time accuracy
66.9%
186 / 278 settled
Last 50
82.0%
sliding window
Last 10
80.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.224
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.638
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be $-153.43 across 309 bets. ROI = -4.97%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 0 | — | |
| 60–70% | 138 | 60.9% (84/138) | |
| 70–80% | 98 | 68.4% (67/98) | |
| 80–90% | 40 | 82.5% (33/40) | |
| 90–101% | 2 | 100.0% (2/2) |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LGD vs TSpirit | TSpirit 65% | 1.00 | |
| TY vs LGD | TY 75% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs 1w | 1w 55% | 1.00 | |
| Aurora vs IW | IW 54% | 1.00 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 06 | LGD vs TSpirit | TSpirit 65% | pending | — |
| Oct 06 | TY vs LGD | TY 75% | pending | — |
| Oct 06 | Aurora vs 1w | 1w 55% | pending | — |
| Oct 06 | Aurora vs IW | IW 54% | pending | — |
| Oct 05 | Synapse vs Z10 | Synapse 76% | pending | — |
| Oct 05 | Synapse vs HU | Synapse 86% | Synapse | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 05 | Synapse vs HU | Synapse 86% | Synapse | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 05 | Synapse vs HU | Synapse 86% | Synapse | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 04 | Z10 vs Hokori | Hokori 56% | pending | — |
| Oct 03 | IW vs OG | IW 60% | pending | — |
| Oct 03 | TSpirit vs TY | TY 58% | TY | coin-flip |
| Oct 03 | TSpirit vs TY | TY 58% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Oct 03 | TY vs TSpirit | TY 57% | TY | coin-flip |
| Oct 03 | LGD vs GL | LGD 60% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Oct 03 | OG vs 1w | 1w 61% | OG | ✗ miss |
| Oct 03 | LGD vs GL | LGD 60% | GL | coin-flip |
| Oct 03 | PV vs Aurora | PV 76% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 03 | OG vs 1w | 1w 61% | 1w | ✗ miss |
| Oct 03 | GL vs LGD | LGD 60% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Oct 03 | PV vs Aurora | PV 74% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 03 | LGD vs GL | LGD 60% | GL | coin-flip |
| Oct 03 | Aurora vs PV | PV 72% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 02 | OG vs BB | OG 57% | pending | — |
| Oct 02 | OG vs BETBOOM | BETBOOM 54% | BETBOOM | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | NMSS vs IW | NMSS 53% | pending | — |
| Oct 02 | OG vs BETBOOM | BETBOOM 54% | BETBOOM | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | GL vs Liquid | Liquid 56% | GL | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | Liquid vs GL | Liquid 56% | GL | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | LGD vs XG | LGD 52% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | NMSS vs 1w | NMSS 52% | 1w | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | NMSS vs 1w | NMSS 52% | 1w | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | XG vs LGD | LGD 52% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | LGD vs XG | LGD 52% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Oct 02 | NMSS vs 1w | NMSS 52% | 1w | coin-flip |
| Oct 01 | Hokori vs Synapse | Synapse 71% | pending | — |
| Oct 01 | TY vs BB | TY 84% | pending | — |
| Oct 01 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 58% | Liquid | coin-flip |
| Oct 01 | GL vs YB | GL 50% | GL | coin-flip |
| Oct 01 | YB vs GL | YB 50% | GL | coin-flip |
| Oct 01 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 58% | Liquid | coin-flip |
| Oct 01 | TY vs BETBOOM | TY 77% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 01 | MOUZ vs OG | OG 59% | OG | coin-flip |
| Oct 01 | OG vs MOUZ | OG 59% | OG | coin-flip |
| Oct 01 | BETBOOM vs TY | TY 75% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 01 | BETBOOM vs TY | TY 74% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Oct 01 | MOUZ vs OG | OG 59% | OG | coin-flip |
| Sep 30 | TSpirit vs IW | TSpirit 67% | pending | — |
| Sep 30 | PV vs LGD | PV 68% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 30 | lvlUP vs XG | lvlUP 74% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Sep 30 | PV vs LGD | PV 74% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 30 | PV vs LGD | PV 72% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 30 | LGD vs PV | PV 71% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 30 | PV vs LGD | PV 69% | PV | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 30 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 59% | NMSS | coin-flip |
| Sep 30 | BB vs OG | OG 57% | pending | — |
| Sep 30 | BETBOOM vs OG | BETBOOM 57% | BETBOOM | coin-flip |
| Sep 30 | NMSS vs NAVI | NAVI 59% | NAVI | coin-flip |
| Sep 30 | OG vs BETBOOM | BETBOOM 57% | BETBOOM | coin-flip |
| Sep 30 | TSpirit vs 1w | TSpirit 64% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Sep 30 | TY vs MOUZ | TY 84% | TY | ✓ HIT |